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| Market Update Agricultural Commodities
Hope Growing of Weaking La Nina (18/01/2012) La Nina. The weather condition behind the drought that has hit crops in Latin America is weakening, according to Australia's Bureau of Meteorology. However, it may be too late for Brazil and Argentina, which together account for almost half of the world's soyabean exports and about 24 per cent of corn shipments...
Indian exports cap rice prices (14/11/2011) Rice prices. The return of India to the global rice market has so far managed to cap an unnerving price rally caused by flooding in Thailand, the world's largest rice exporter. New Delhi has lifted a 4-year old export ban on sales of non-basmati rice, filling the gap left by Bangkok and stopping what rice traders and agricultural officials said would almost certainly have been a wave of panic buying...
UN says food prices to remain high (10/10/2011) Food commodity prices. Food commodity prices are more likely to stay high and volatile during the next few years because of rising demand, more frequent extreme weather and the biofuel industry, according to a report from the UN's agriculture agencies.
Corn price plunges as US acreage rises (1/7/2011) Corn. Corn futures have suffered their steepest fall in 15 years after record prices prompted US farmers to defy wet spring weather to plant a sharply increased acreage of the grain. At 92.3m acres, US plantings were the second biggest since the second world war and came in spite of soggy fields and damaging floods.
Food prices expected to remain high (8/6/2011) Rising food inflation. Agricultural commodities prices are set to remain high for the rest of the year, the UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation has said. The FAO said that near record prices would push the global bill for imported commodities such as grains, oilseeds, sugar, meat, fish and dairy products to an all-time high of $1.290bn this year, up 21 per cent from 2010.
Bad weather poses threat to wheat supplies (26/5/2011) Wheat supplies. Expectations for a sharp rebound in global wheat supplies were lowered after an inter-governmental trading group said bad weather threatened key breadbaskets. The International Grains Council trimmed its forecast for the annual global wheat crop by 5m tonnes to 667m tonnes, citing 'unfavourable weather', especially in Europe and the U.S. Compared with tight stocks of corn, wheat inventories are still relatively comfortable. The price of the staple grain has risen 78 per cent in the past year, while corn has doubled.
IMF warns food prices to stay high (3/3/2011) The world faces a prolonged period of high food prices, the International Monetary Fund has warned, arguing that the main reason for the sharp rise in agricultural commodities prices is a structural shift in demand. The warning came as the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation's index of global food prices rose to a record high in February. The economists said that a large part of the surge in food prices was related to temporary factors, such as the weather. US warns extreme food prices will stay (24/2/2011) The world faces a protracted bout of extremely high food prices, the US government has warned, overwhelming farmers' ability to cool commodity markets by planting millions of additional hectares with crops. The US Department of Agriculture has forecast nominal record farm-gate prices for corn, wheat soyabeans in the crop year that begins with the 2011 harvests. It added that food inflation would surge in the second half of this year as wholesale prices filtered through the supply chain, affecting consumers.
Sugar and coffee hit multi-year highs (20/12/2010) Sugar and coffee prices hit multi-year highs on Monday, further boosting food inflation concerns as supply problems mounted after a string of lower-than-expected harvests due to unfavourable weather. Sugar supplies remained tight after a low crop in Brazil (the world's top exporter) and Australia due to bad weather and also export restrictions in India (the second-largest producer). The surge in sugar and coffee prices comes as other agricultural commodities - from corn and wheat to soyabean and barley - trade near a two-year high.
Insecurity to keep up price of cocoa (17/12/2010) The crisis on the Ivory Coast, the world's top cocoa producer, looks set to support cocoa bean prices before Christmas, one of the peak times of year for chocolate consumption. Ivory Coast accounts for nearly 40 per cent of global production. A slowdown in deliveries, during the year's busiest harvesting period, is keeping up prices in London and New York. High industry stocks and a strong crop from Ghana are capping price gains... Grain export bans create fresh problems (11/11/2010) Wheat, sugar and cotton prices have spiralled to multi-year highs this week on the back of Government action, in particular, export restrictions imposed by big producers round the world. The wave of export controls started in Russia in August, when Moscow banned sales of grains after a severe drought hit this year's crop. Ukraine followed by restricting exports of wheat, barley and corn and through the use of quotas. India has limited sales of sugar and cotton and kept in place a two-year old ban on non-basmati rice exports. Pakistan has banned wheat exports, too. Egypt is restricting sales of rice and Kazakhstan is, in effect, limiting exports by only selling grains to Russia.
Food price fears as US warns on crop yields (10/11/2010) The US has slashed key crop forecasts and warned of shortfalls in grains. The Agriculture Department has cut estimates of US corn yields for a third successive month, forecast record soyabean exports to China and warned of the slimmest cotton stocks since 1925. Carlsberg, the brewer, warned of price increases as costs swelled for malt and barley.
Orange juice soars as Brazil crop falls short (5/11/2010) Orange juice prices reached their highest point in three years after a government agency in Brazil, the world's top producer, said the orange crop would fall. "There was a drought in Brazil. Extremely dry weather is expected to cut into yields".
Corn prices hit highest levels since 2008 (20/9/2010) Corn prices broke above the key $5-a-bushel barrier for the first time in two years, boosted by fears of a tighter supply-and-demand balance as US farmers reported disappointment in the early stages of their harvest. The US Department of Agriculture this month cut its forecast for the country's corn stocks-to-use ratio, a key measure of the adequacy of inventories, to the lowest level in 15 years. This came in spite of expectations for the largest corn crop ever.
Pakistan floods add to rise in sugar prices (13/8/2010) Sugar prices have jumped as Pakistan's worst floods in decades raised expectations the country would have to step up purchases of commodities in the already-tight international markets. Some are forecasting as much as 500,000 tonnes of sugar may have been lost from the Pakistani crop.
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